Generalized Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Pharmaceutical Interventions for Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in Thailand
Pansasri Khonputsa*, Lennert J. Veerman, Melanie Bertram, Stephen S. Lim, ณธร ชัยญาคุณาพฤกษ์, Theo Vos
59/313 Piboonwattana Building, Rama 6 Road, Samsennai, Phayathai, Bangkok 10400, Thailand; E-mail: panarasik@yahoo.com
บทคัดย่อ
Objectives: To assess the cost-effectiveness of blood pressure (BP)-lowering and cholesterol-lowering drugs for cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention.
Methods: We constructed aMarkovmodel in which the Thai population was classified by 10-year absolute CVD risk and modeled the use of BP- and cholesterol-lowering drugs, including a “polypill” (three BP-lowering drugs and a statin).We applied “do-noth-ing” as the comparator, a health sector perspective on lifetime cost-effectiveness, 3% discounting of costs and effects, and used probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Outcomes are expressed as average and incremental cost-effectiveness in Thai baht per disability-adjusted life-year averted.
Results: The polypill would be a very cost-effective option for CVD prevention even in people at modest risk (10-year risk of 5%–9.9%). Use of the three most cost-effective BP drugs is also associated with a net cost saving and large health gain at risk levels greater than 5%. Adding a generic statin gives a price per disability-adjusted life-year of 0.5 (10-year risk at 20%) to 1.5 (10-year risk at 5%–9.9%) times Thai per-capita gross domestic product using lowest available annual costs. However, at current average drug prices, adding a statin would be considered cost-effective only for those with a 10-year absolute CVD risk of 20% and more.
Conclusions: Primary CVD prevention with the polypill or a combination of three generic BP-lowering drugs is very cost-effective in the Thai population.
ที่มา
Value in Health ปี 2555, ปีที่: Regional issue 1 ฉบับที่ หน้า 15-22
คำสำคัญ
Thailand, cost-effectiveness, Cardiovascular Disease, blood pressure–lowering drugs, cholesterol-lowering drugs